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  • Comparing Model Error Between a Standard Risk Adjustment Model and a Disease-Specific Risk Adjustment Model
    risk for members with type 2 diabetes. At the individual level, the diabetes risk model had a 47 percent ... developed the HHS-HCC risk adjustment model for individual and small group markets under the ACA. The HHS-HCC ...

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    • Authors: Andrew Mackenzie, Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Dec 2020
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Health & Disability
  • But Will They Buy? Insurance Coverage for All...And How Insurers Can Afford To Provide It
    But Will They Buy? Insurance Coverage for All...And How Insurers Can Afford To Provide ... providing suggested solutions. Group life plans;Individual life plans;Marketing and distribution;Underwriting;Middle ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Sep 2003
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: News Direct
    • Topics: Life Insurance>Marketing and distribution - Life Insurance
  • International Actuarial Association Health Section Colloquium - Cape Town 2007
    Issue No. 37. ; <!-- InstanceBeginEditable name="Table" --> International Actuarial Association Health ... the employer–based system is replaced with an individual system, there will need to be a way to ensure ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Sep 2007
    • Publication Name: Expanding Horizons
  • Health Section News, August 2003, Issue No. 46
    demographics) to predict next year’s costs at the individual and group levels. In predicting next year ’s ... groups were calculated. Results Table 1 presents that individual R2 for each of the models. Note that ...

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    • Authors: John Cookson, Ian G Duncan, Jeffrey Miller, Daniel Wolak, Robert Lynch, Charles Edwards, Marilyn Kramer, Rong Yi
    • Date: Aug 2003
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
  • Planes, Brains, and New Business Deal
    information was recorded on cards and the triennial valuation was an entirely manual process. Computerization ... (and budget) and figure out how to work for that individual or organization. Define your own value proposition ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries, Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Feb 2007
    • Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
  • Critical Review of Stochastic Simulation Literature and Applications for Health Actuaries Appendix
    distributions conditional on the attributes of the individual concerned…” p. 270). (3) The British Regional ... Context Description This was a simulation of individual and family health care expenditures for a one ...

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    • Authors: Louise H Anderson, Ian G Duncan, Katherine Hall, Brian C Martinson
    • Date: Sep 2007
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Health Section News, June 2002, Issue No. 46
    retirees on the community rate. As a retiree medical valuation actuary, it is quite a proposition to determine ... is naturally the challenge. Our friends on the individual life side, I suggest whim- sically, have seen ...

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    • Authors: John Cookson, Paul Cronin, Ian G Duncan, Charles S Fuhrer, Jeffrey Miller, Gregory J Sullivan, Loretta Jacobs, Rowen Bell, Matthew Condos
    • Date: Jun 2002
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
  • The Actuary
    significant discount to other financial stocks. That valuation gap won’t narrow until the disclosure gap narrows ... supplemental medical insur- ance began publishing a table showing the cost, market value and unrealized ...

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    • Authors: Application Administrator, Ian G Duncan, Robert Berendsen, Ronald Harasym, Vinaya Sharma, Eric Berg, Kevin Matthew Chong
    • Date: Nov 2003
    • Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
  • Health Watch News
    offerings is evaluating the accuracy of different valuation techniques. A number of non-actuaries believe ... outperform traditional actuarial approaches to valuation. In addition, they believe these techniques would ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries, Ian G Duncan, Gail M Lawrence, Gregory Fann, Ross Winkelman, Rowen Bell, Syed Mehmud
    • Date: Sep 2007
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
  • Population Risk Management: Identifying High-Risk Members to Reduce Costs
    total, while the laser is applied strictly to an individual. Again, this point can be simply illustrated ... trans- plant. Instead of taking a laser on that individual for $400,000, they opt for an aggregating specific ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Jun 2002
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance